Pound (GBP) slips as UK bond yields rise

The pound (GBP) was subdued at the start of the week amid a fresh uptick in UK bond yields, due to apparent contagion risks from the other side of the channel.

GBP investors were also wary of making any aggressive bets ahead of a speech by Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey, scheduled for after European markets closed.

Turning to today’s session, in the absence of any notable UK economic releases, the pound may struggle to find direction.

Euro (EUR) rocked by French political turmoil

The euro (EUR) was met with notable selling pressure on Monday, as the shock resignation of French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu plunged the Eurozone’s second-largest economy into another political crisis.

Lecornu's resignation, only 28 days into the job, reignited fears that France’s deepening political divisions are making it impossible for the country to implement the much-needed fiscal reforms necessary to tackle its ballooning debt.

In addition to French political uncertainty, the euro may also be pressured by Germany’s latest factory orders figures, after data this morning revealed order growth contracted for the fourth consecutive month.

US dollar (USD) firms in cautious trade

The US dollar (USD) strengthened at the start of this week as geopolitical uncertainty bolstered demand for safe-haven assets.

However, the ongoing US government shutdown capped the US dollar’s upside potential as it became clear that little progress had been made to end the Congressional deadlock over the weekend.

Coming up, several Federal Reserve policymakers are scheduled to speak later today, but the focus is likely to be on Trump ally Stephen Miran. If he repeats his calls for the bank to deliver a series of aggressive cuts, the US dollar is likely to suffer.

Canadian dollar (CAD) buoyed by rising oil prices

The Canadian dollar (CAD) firmed on Monday, with the commodity-linked currency benefiting from an uptick in oil prices.

Looking ahead, the release of the latest Ivey PMI could provide support for the ‘loonie’ later today if it reports an improvement in business activity last month.

Australian dollar (AUD) weakens as consumer confidence deteriorates

The Australian dollar (AUD) stumbled overnight on Monday, pressured by an unexpected decline in domestic consumer confidence.

New Zealand dollar (NZD) slides in risk-averse trade

The New Zealand dollar (NZD) also retreated in overnight trade as a cautious market mood saw investors shun the risk-sensitive ‘kiwi’.


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