Market building towards key US data on Friday

Market building towards key US data on Friday

Today we have US ADP employment data which will give us a taster as we build up to the key non-farm payroll data on Friday. Feedback from the labour market is the highest consideration, as the FOMC judge whether it is appropriate to increase interest rates. On Friday the payroll data is expected to come in at a healthy 175k, and average earnings are likely to increase by 0.2%. We could also see the unemployment rate fall slightly to 4.8% from 4.9%. If we see positive US data this week, it will build expectations for a September rate hike and lead to USD gains.

Eurozone CPI softer for August

In the Eurozone, CPI for August (y/y) has come in slightly softer than expected at 0.2% vs 0.3% expected. In addition, the unemployment rate for July has been confirmed at 10.1% which is in line with forecast. This morning the euro has been on the back foot and disappointing inflation data will not help this trend.  

Pound finds tentative momentum

The pound has managed to pick up this morning against the euro and the USD. Following a better run of UK data this week, the pound is finding some tentative momentum. Tomorrow we have UK Manufacturing PMI, and on Friday Construction PMI to give further feedback for the UK economy.

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