Risk appetite helped prop up the Australian and New Zealand dollars last week; with a dearth of ecostats on the calendar this week, markets will need to be feeling risky once more if AUD and NZD are to record more gains.
Suggestions that the UK government would aim for a less-severe form of Brexit helped buoy the euro at the beginning of last week, as a ‘Hard Brexit’ has the potential to damage the Eurozone economy. Additionally, anticipation of the US Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) midweek interest rate decision was pushing up demand for EUR as USD was weakening.
The Greek debt crisis once again returned to the fore for much of last week, with Greece desperately needing to persuade Eurogroup to unlock its next tranche of bailout funding. Athens needs around €7.5 billion to repay maturing debt in July or face the risk of credit default.
As usual, the parties have been in deadlock for many weeks over whether the government has implemented the mandated austerity measures and on the issue of debt relief. Also as usual, a deal has been reached, but only at the last minute in order to avoid disaster. The news that Greece would indeed receive the funds in time to repay creditors - mainly the European Central Bank (ECB) - pushed the euro higher on Friday.
Brexit talks are likely to weigh on the euro as well as the pound this week. Data is largely thin on the ground, which could leave markets with little to go on.
However, Thursday and Friday hold some impactful releases. The ECB publishes its latest Economic Bulletin on Thursday morning, while Eurozone consumer confidence figures follow in the afternoon.
On Friday, a slew of PMIs for June will give an indication of how the Eurozone economy was faring as it entered the final month of the second quarter.
Joining the corporate trading desk in 2007, Phil now overseas all of Currencies Direct’s corporate dealing activity. Having gained experience working with hundreds of businesses to optimise international payments processes and execute comprehensive risk management strategies, Phil currently works with a portfolio of corporate clients whilst managing Currencies Direct’s overall market exposure
Phil has FSA approval and has completed the Certificate in International Treasury Management (CertiTM)