The Australian dollar trended lower through the majority of last week, with the risk-sensitive currency struggling to attract support as a gloomy market mood prevailed through most of the session.
Sterling appears to be holding steady this morning meanwhile, with GBP/EUR flat at €1.1529, GBP/USD muted at $1.2927 and GBP/CAD stable at C$1.7394, while GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD both strike higher, surging to AU$1.8370 and NZ$1.9518 respectively.
Barring any major Brexit developments, we may see the UK’s latest borrowing figures in the spotlight today, potentially lifting the pound if they print in line with expectations.
What’s been happening?
Following a soft start to the weak for Sterling as the closure of UK markets for the Easter weekend resulted in thin trade, the pound found its feet again yesterday.
This came as Parliament returned from the Easter break, allowing cross-party Brexit talks to resume in earnest.
However Sterling sentiment appeared to weaken again in the afternoon, with the pound paring some of its gains following reports that Theresa May could seek to hold a fourth vote on her Brexit deal next week amidst growing pressure from within her party to resign.
This allowed the GBP/EUR exchange rate to recoup all the losses from Monday, with the euro unable to stem its losses after Eurozone consumer confidence slumped to a three-month low in April due to rising concerns over slowing economic activity in the bloc.
Meanwhile, the GBP/USD exchange rate fell back to a two-month low on Tuesday, with investors flocking to the safe-haven US dollar as a cautious mood fell over markets, with some stronger-than-expected US housing data lending further support to USD throughout the second half of the session.
What’s coming up?
Looking ahead, we may see the pound enjoy some modest gains this morning as the UK publishes its public sector borrowing figures, with economists forecasting that the UK will have experienced its third consecutive monthly budget surplus in March.
Meanwhile, EUR investors are likely to be focused on Germany’s latest business climate index, with the euro likely to stumble if the outlook of German firms remained broadly pessimistic in April.
Finally, the absence of any notable US data economic data could limit the appeal of the US dollar today.
Joining the corporate trading desk in 2007, Phil now over sees all of Currencies Direct’s corporate dealing activity. Having gained experience working with hundreds of businesses to optimise international payments processes and execute comprehensive risk management strategies, Phil currently works with a portfolio of corporate clients whilst managing Currencies Direct’s overall market exposure
Phil has FCA approval and has completed the Certificate in International Treasury Management (CertiTM)