The euro slumped on Thursday following the European Central Bank’s (ECB) latest interest rate decision.
Meanwhile, the pound opens today’s session on the back foot, with GBP/EUR dipping to €1.1428 and GBP/USD retreating to $1.1232. GBP/CAD is rangebound at C$1.5198, while GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD hold steady at AU$1.7053 and NZ$1.9315, respectively.
Looking ahead, will the Bank of England’s latest interest rate decision result in some volatility in the pound today?
The US dollar got off to a strong start yesteday, as a bearish market mood saw skittish investors favour the safe-haven currency,
What’s been happening?
USD exchange rates then spiked in the wake of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, as it delivered another 75bps hike and the bank’s so-called dot plot suggested rates could climb to 4.6% by the end of 2023.
The euro, meanwhile, stumbled on Wednesday as the single currency was hit by fears of an escalation of the war in Ukraine after Vladimir Putin announced of a ‘partial mobilisation’ of Russian forces.
EUR investors fear this could drag out the conflict and place even more pressure on the Eurozone economy.
At the same time, the pound was mostly rangebound through yesterday’s European session. While Sterling was also negatively impact by developments in Ukraine, this was offset as the UK government unveiled its plans to support businesses with energy costs this winter.
The Bank of England’s interest rate decision is likely to be the highlight of today’s session.
What’s coming up?
With analysts split on whether the BoE will deliver a 50bps or 75bps increase there is a good chance for some volatility in the pound today.
If the BoE opts for a 75bps hike Sterling may shoot higher. On the other hand, a 50bps increase is likely to disappoint GBP investors and extend the pound’s recent losses.
Meanwhile, Ukraine developments are likely to continue to act as a key catalyst of movement for the euro and could limit the single currency’s upside potential. Even if the latest Eurozone consumer confidence figures show another improvement.
Finally, the US dollar may maintain its bullish momentum today, so long as market risk appetite remains weak.
Joining the corporate trading desk in 2007, Phil now over sees all of Currencies Direct’s corporate dealing activity. Having gained experience working with hundreds of businesses to optimise international payments processes and execute comprehensive risk management strategies, Phil currently works with a portfolio of corporate clients whilst managing Currencies Direct’s overall market exposure
Phil has FCA approval and has completed the Certificate in International Treasury Management (CertiTM)