The pound struck lower again on Tuesday as the announcement of new coronavirus restrictions in the UK and a dire warning from Boris Johnson spooked investors.
Sterling appears to be on stable footing at the start of this week, however, with GBP/EUR flat at €1.1060 and GBP/USD stable at $1.2377. GBP/CAD is rangebound at C$1.6820, while GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD hold steady at AU$1.8039 and NZ$1.9252 respectively.
Looking ahead, the pound could recoup some of its losses this week, with the publication of the UK’s latest PMI figures.
What’s been happening?The pound closed last week’s session on the back foot, with the currency plunging to its worst levels since March against the euro as the Bank of England driven sell-off intensified.
This appeared to be attributed to speculation that the BoE may implement additional monetary easing in the future.
These concerns also offset a strong retail sales report from the UK, revealing sales growth rebounded 12% in May following the reopening of DIY stores and garden centres.
The euro was mostly rangebound through Friday ahead of a virtual EU summit, in which EU leaders failed to reach an agreement over the EU’s €750bn coronavirus recovery fund.
Finally, the US dollar traded in a narrow range at the end of last week’s session, with demand for the safe-haven currency dented by improving market sentiment as well as comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warning ‘the path ahead for the US economy is likely to be challenging’.
What’s coming up?Turning to this week, the pound may mount a recovery in the first half of the session with the publication of the UK’s latest PMI figures.
June’s preliminary figures are expected to show that private sector activity continued to recover this month,
with a notable narrowing of contraction in the manufacturing sector while service sector activity may see a more modest improvement given shops only started to reopen on the 15th June.
Across the Channel, the focus will be on the Eurozone’s own PMI releases, with the euro expected to rally if the easing of lockdown restrictions throughout Europe has helped economic activity in the bloc rebound.
For USD investors, the focus this week looks to be on the latest US durable goods orders release, with a strong rebound in order growth last month potentially lifting the US Dollar.
Joining the corporate trading desk in 2007, Phil now over sees all of Currencies Direct’s corporate dealing activity. Having gained experience working with hundreds of businesses to optimise international payments processes and execute comprehensive risk management strategies, Phil currently works with a portfolio of corporate clients whilst managing Currencies Direct’s overall market exposure
Phil has FCA approval and has completed the Certificate in International Treasury Management (CertiTM)