As geopolitical tensions between the East and West rise, sanctions and souring relations could have lasting impacts on business globally.
- Pound down on political uncertainty
- US dollar shakes off political turmoil
- Oil price decline not enough to dent Canadian dollar
Pound under pressure as parliament resumes
The pound edged lower yesterday as parliament reconvened and PM Boris Johnson challenged opposition MPs to call a confidence vote in his government.
According to The Independent, Johnson accused MPs of “political cowardice” and demanded parliament “step aside” so he could deliver Brexit.
Political developments are likely to keep Sterling under pressure as we head towards the weekend.
Widening goods trade deficit set to dent US dollar
An increasing sense of political turmoil failed to weigh on the US dollar yesterday after House Democrats opened a formal impeachment investigation.
With market risk appetite fading in the face of the news USD exchange rates experienced fresh gains, also benefitting from positive home sales data.
However, support for the US dollar could fade this afternoon as forecasts point towards a widening of the advance goods trade deficit.
Canadian dollar could gain if businesses prove optimistic
The Canadian dollar shook off a decline in oil prices on Wednesday, in spite of US crude oil inventories showing a surprise increase.
CAD exchange rates could find a stronger footing today if the CFIB business barometer offers a positive signal.
Signs of resilience within the Canadian economy would give the Bank of Canada (BOC) greater incentive to leave interest rates on hold, to the benefit of the Canadian dollar.
As long as the index shows another solid month of business sentiment the potential for CAD exchange rate losses could prove limited.
Thursday, 26th September 2019
13:30 CAD CFIB Business Barometer
13:30 USD Advance Goods Trade Balance
23:00 NZD ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index
Joining the corporate trading desk in 2007, Phil now over sees all of Currencies Direct’s corporate dealing activity. Having gained experience working with hundreds of businesses to optimise international payments processes and execute comprehensive risk management strategies, Phil currently works with a portfolio of corporate clients whilst managing Currencies Direct’s overall market exposure
Phil has FCA approval and has completed the Certificate in International Treasury Management (CertiTM)